The New Year's Lie
We Tracked 55 Resolutions for 3 Years.
Here's exactly when Americans give up - from guitar dreams to gym memberships, Ivy League ambitions to Dry January. The data doesn't care about your good intentions.
55
3
94%
18.3%
Scroll to explore
01
Why We Made This Study
Every year the same thing happens. January feels different. This time it really will be the year. The gym fills up. Guitar tutorials trend. People announce Dry January on social media. And then February comes.
We looked at three years of real search data to find out exactly when the wheels fall off. Not survey data where we asked people what they planned to do. Real behavior: what people typed into Google, and when they stopped.
The central idea is simple. If 100 people searched for something in January and only 63 were still searching in February, 37 people gave up. That's a 37% collapse. The higher the number, the faster people abandoned their resolution.
94.4%
Highest collapse found
Dry January - every year
18.3%
Most resilient resolution
Gym Near Me - like clockwork
18:1
Biggest fantasy gap
Online money vs resume writers
02
5 Findings That Will Change How You Think About New Year's Resolutions
These aren't just numbers. Each one flips a common assumption about how resolution behavior actually works.
🍺
94%
Dry January: 125,000 Pledges. 94% Gone the Moment February Arrives.
Dry January is where people skip alcohol for the entire month of January. It generates over 125,000 searches in January — then 94% of that vanishes overnight on February 1st, every single year. Compare that to people who search "alcohol free" year-round: they only drop 27.9% in February. Dry January creates intense but temporary commitment. Lasting change needs more than a calendar event.
🏋️
18.3%
Only 18.3% of People Drop Their Gym Resolution by February
You've heard the jokes about empty gyms in February. The data says the opposite. 82 out of 100 gym searchers are still searching in February. The same 18.3% dropout, every year, like clockwork.
🎸
8:1
Eight Times More People Book Guitar Lessons Than Just Dream About Learning
56,833 searches for "guitar lessons near me" versus 7,200 for "learn guitar." And lesson-bookers only dropped 23% in February vs 37% for casual dreamers. Action predicts persistence.
📚
+49%
While Gym Goals Fade, SAT and ACT Prep Searches Surge 49% in February
The only resolutions that get stronger in February. Not motivation — deadlines. As March exams approach, urgency kicks in. SAT and ACT prep are the only two topics in our entire dataset that grow after January.
👨👩👧
32:1
Parents Search for Tutors 32 Times More Than Students Search to Improve Their GPA
Students search "how to improve my GPA" 1,400 times. Parents search "tutoring near me" 44,700 times in the same month. And parents follow through: only 12% drop off by February, versus 34% of students. Parents give up last. Every single time.
03
Every Resolution, Ranked by How Fast It Dies
From the one that collapses in hours to the one that actually grows stronger - here is the full picture.
Top 20 Resolutions: How Many People Gave Up by February
Average collapse % across all 3 years tracked · Dry January (94.4%) shown separately due to scale
Figure 1: Instruments and grad school prep lead the collapse chart. Green bars = terms that grow in February (SAT, ACT, resume tips).
Source: Wiingy
Source: Wiingy
Negative % = February was bigger than January (these resolutions actually grow). Average across all 3 cycles.
04
Gym, Diet, Money: The Resolutions Everyone Makes (and When They Break)
The two biggest resolution categories tell completely different stories. Health holds up better than you'd expect. Money is where the fantasy gap is widest.
Health Resolutions: How Many People Gave Up by February?
Average collapse % Jan to Feb · 3-year average · Sorted fastest to slowest · United States
Figure 2: Healthy meal prep has the worst collapse (37.3%) even though it is the most committed action. Gym near me drops by only 18.3% - the most resilient health resolution. The easier the commitment sounds, the faster it tends to collapse.
Source: Wiingy
18.3%
Gym dropout
Same all 3 years
28.2%
Intermittent fasting
Big spike, then fades
37.3%
Healthy meal prep
Hardest health collapse
17.0%
Yoga for beginners
Surprisingly resilient
Money: The Side Hustle Dream Is Disappearing
Money Resolutions: Which Ones Hold and Which Ones Fade
Average collapse % · 3-year average · United States
Figure 3: Resume tips actually grows in February - people searching it mean business. Side hustle ideas had a 55% collapse in 2024-25 and its January volume fell 70% over two years.
Source: Wiingy
05
Dry January: The Most Dramatic Resolution Spike in America — and the Most Fleeting
Dry January is the annual challenge where people skip all alcohol for the month of January. 125,000+ Americans search for it every January. The moment February 1 arrives, 94% of that search volume is gone overnight. Compare that to people who search "alcohol free" year-round: they drop only 27.9% in February. Dry January creates a surge. Lasting sobriety requires structure and accountability — not just a calendar date.
94.4%
Dry January — No Alcohol in January
125,000+ January searches
94% gone by February 1 — every year
+950% pre-signal in December
0.0%
Nicotine Patch
60,500–90,500 Jan searches
Zero collapse recorded — any year
Addiction beats motivation
Quitting Habits: How Many People Were Gone by February
3-year average collapse %
Figure 4: Stop smoking barely drops (6.1%) because people search it year-round — it's not a seasonal resolution. Dry January is a calendar event with a hard end date.
Source: Wiingy
94.4%
Dry January collapse Every year, same number
35.8%
Screen time reduction Moderate, getting worse
6.1%
Stop smoking Year-round, not seasonal
06
Guitar, Piano, Drums: Which Instrument Dream Dies First?
Learning a musical instrument is one of the most popular New Year's resolutions of all time. We tracked 8 instruments to find out which dream collapses fastest — and the results are not what you'd expect.
#1
🪕
Ukulele
2,193 Jan searches
40.4% gave up
#2
🎹
Piano
9,833 Jan searches
38.4% gave up
#3
🎸
Guitar
7,200 Jan searches
37.4% gave up
#4
🎵
Bass Guitar
1,600 Jan searches
27.5% gave up
#5
🥁
Drums
450 Jan searches
18.4% gave up
#6
🎻
Violin
773 Jan searches
18.1% gave up
#7
🎶
Flute
223 Jan searches
14.8% gave up
#8
🎷
Saxophone
323 Jan searches
12.4% gave up
Which Instrument Resolution Collapses Fastest?
Average % who gave up by February · 3-year average · United States
Figure 5: Ukulele (40.4%) and Piano (38.4%) collapse fastest on average. Saxophone (12.4%) and Flute (14.8%) have the most committed learners. The harder the instrument, the more serious the student.
Source: Wiingy
Booking a Lesson Beats Just Googling. Every Time.
There are 8 people searching for actual guitar lessons for every 1 person just Googling "learn guitar." And the lesson-bookers quit 14 percentage points less in February.
| The Dream | Jan Searches | The Action | Jan Searches | Ratio | Who Quits Less |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Learn guitar | 7,200 | Guitar lessons near me | 56,833 | 1 : 8 | Action by 14pp |
| Learn piano | 9,833 | Piano lessons near me | 85,000 | 1 : 9 | Action by 15pp |
07
Harvard Dreams, SAT Prep, and Why Parents Never Give Up
The academic category has the most surprising finding in the whole study. Two topics actually get more popular in February. Everything else fades. These two grow.
Academic Resolutions: Grew or Collapsed? (3-Year Average)
Positive % = February was bigger than January (deadline-driven) · Negative % = people gave up
Figure 6: SAT prep (+16.4%) and ACT prep (+7.4%) are the only academic terms that grow in February. Urgency from approaching exam dates drives this. GRE prep has the worst collapse at 37.4% — the opposite pattern.
Source: Wiingy
37.4%
GRE prep collapse
Fastest academic quitter
19.0%
How to get into Harvard
Stable, serious searchers
+49%
SAT prep Feb growth
Deadlines beat motivation
12.1%
Tutoring near me
Parents are persistent
| Academic Resolution | What It Is | Jan Searches | Gave Up by Feb | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRE prep | Grad school exam | 6,700 | 37.4% | Fast collapse |
| Improve GPA | Grade improvement | 1,400 | 34% | Dream, not action |
| LSAT prep | Law school exam | 13,167 | 33.2% | Moderate |
| Get into Stanford | Ivy League ambition | 1,700 | 29.3% | Worsening yearly |
| Get into Harvard | Ivy League ambition | 3,867 | 19% | Serious searchers |
| Tutoring near me | Parents booking tutors | 44,700 | 12.1% | Parents hold strong |
| ACT prep | College entrance exam | 18,000 | Grows +7.4% | Grows in Feb |
| SAT prep | College entrance exam | 18,367 | Grows +16.4% | Strongest in study |
08
The Fantasy vs Reality Gap:
Are You a Doer or a Dreamer?
Every resolution has two versions - the vague wish and the actual action. The gap between them shows who means it and who's just thinking about it.
The Dream
Learn guitar
7,200 Jan searches · 37.4% gave up
1:8
Ratio
The Action
Guitar lessons near me
56,833 Jan searches · 23.2% gave up
The Dream
Learn piano
9,833 Jan searches · 38.4% gave up
1:9
Ratio
The Action
Piano lessons near me
85,000 Jan searches · 23.2% gave up
The Dream
Make money online
110,167 Jan searches · 23.2% gave up
18:1
Ratio
The Action
Resume tips
6,100 Jan searches · grows in Feb
The Dream
Intermittent fasting
447,333 Jan searches · 28.2% gave up
20:1
Ratio
The Action
Healthy meal prep
22,467 Jan searches · 37.3% gave up
The Dream
Start investing
10,767 Jan searches · 28.2% gave up
4.8:1
Ratio
The Action
Budgeting for beginners
2,233 Jan searches · 21.6% gave up
The Dream
Improve GPA
1,400 Jan searches · 34% gave up
1:32
Ratio
The Action
Tutoring near me
44,700 Jan searches · 12.1% gave up
Dreamers vs Doers: Who Still Cared in February?
Collapse % for each pair · Lower bar = more people still searching in February · Data: 3-year average
Figure 7: Blue bars = people who searched the dream/aspirational term (e.g. "learn guitar"). Green bars = people who took action (e.g. "guitar lessons near me"). In every music pair, action-takers quit less. For money, both groups fade — but resume tip searchers actually grew in February.
Source: Wiingy
8:1
Action beats fantasy
Guitar: bookers vs browsers
18:1
Fantasy crushes action
Online money vs resume tips
32:1
Parents outact students
Tutors vs GPA wishes
09
Is It Getting Better or Worse?
Three Years of the Same Cycle
Some resolutions are growing in popularity. Others are quietly disappearing. Here is how the numbers moved from 2023 to 2026.
How Has Each Resolution's Popularity Changed? (2023 vs 2026)
% change in January search volume from 2023-24 to 2025-26 cycle · Green = growing · Red = declining
Figure 8: ACT prep surged 124% in two years — exam pressure is intensifying. Side hustle ideas fell 70% and Dry January fell 55%. Gym Near Me held perfectly flat. Gym is not a trend. It is a constant.
Source: Wiingy
10 Most Interesting Year-Over-Year Stories
Dry January lost half its audience in two years
165,000 Jan searches in 2023 to 74,000 in 2026
Fewer people are even trying the no-alcohol challenge - but the 94% end-of-month collapse stayed exactly the same. Dry January creates a surge. It does not create lasting habits.
Piano collapse tripled from 2023 to 2024
18.5% to 63.5% to 33.3% collapse
TikTok piano tutorials create the impression anyone can learn in a week. When reality hits, people exit faster than ever.
SAT prep is the only resolution that gets stronger in February
+49% growth from Jan to Feb in 2025-26
Exam deadlines do what motivation cannot. As March tests approach, urgency spikes. Every other resolution fades.
Gym Near Me: 2.24 million searches, three years in a row
Exactly 18.3% collapse every year
The most consistent data point in the entire study. The gym is not a resolution. It is infrastructure.
The side hustle dream is evaporating
27,100 to 14,800 to 8,100 January searches
A 70% volume drop in two years, plus a 55% collapse in 2024-25. The side hustle era is contracting rapidly.
Ukulele was 2025 biggest instrument failure
80% collapse in 2024-25, worst single cycle in the study
4,400 January searches and 80% gone by February. The year before and after were totally normal. A pure fad cycle.
Nicotine patch never collapses - across all three years
60,500 to 90,500 Jan searches, zero February drop
Managing an addiction creates more durable motivation than any resolution. Urgency beats aspiration every time.
ACT prep surged 124% in two years
12,100 to 27,100 January searches
College application pressure is clearly intensifying. More students are prepping earlier, and they do not give up.
Guitar dreamers fade. Lesson-bookers hold steady.
"Learn guitar" fell from 8,100 to 5,400. Lessons near me: stable at 50-60K.
The casual wishers are making the resolution less. The people who mean it are still booking lessons.
Ivy League searches decline but quality improves
590 to 390 Jan searches, dropout 33.9% to 17.9%
Fewer people are dreaming of the Ivy League. Those who are, are way more serious about it.
10
How We Collected This Data
Real search data, not surveys. Here is exactly how we measured when Americans give up.
What We Looked At
55 resolution topics across five categories: health and fitness, quitting habits, money and career, musical instruments, and academic goals. Three full cycles of data covering October through February for 2023-24, 2024-25, and 2025-26.
How We Measured "Giving Up"
We compared January search volumes against February. The Collapse Percentage is simply how many January searchers were gone by February.
A negative result means February was bigger than January — the resolution actually strengthened.
Important Notes
Four original topics returned no data (Google restricts addiction-related searches from its ad tools). We replaced them with similar terms: stop smoking, quit vaping, and nicotine patch. Where January searches were below the October-November baseline — meaning no real resolution spike happened — those data points are noted but not used in headline rankings.
11
Who Made This Report
The Wiingy Research Team works on data studies that reveal real patterns in how Americans learn, grow, and yes, give up on their goals.

Shifa
Lead Researcher
Shifa leads the Wiingy Research Team, overseeing study design, research scope, and final editorial review. Her work uncovers emerging trends at the intersection of education, culture, and consumer behavior - driving data-backed decisions that shape Wiingy's future.

Bhavya
Research Analyst
Bhavya contributes analytical depth and curiosity to every project. Her expertise in data analysis and research methodology ensures the team's studies are rigorous, transparent, and impactful - staying ahead of industry trends so Wiingy remains a leader in the education space.
12
About Wiingy
Wiingy is a top-rated tutoring marketplace connecting students with over 4,500 expert-vetted tutors for 350+ subjects - from coding and math to guitar, piano, and SAT prep. World-class education should be accessible to everyone. Every tutor is fully vetted and a free trial lesson is available within 24 hours of booking.
This report's findings connect directly to what Wiingy does. People who search for actual lessons - guitar lessons near me, piano lessons near me, tutoring near me - are far more persistent in February than people who only search aspirationally. A tutor isn't just an instructor. A tutor is what turns a resolution into a result.
Subjects Available on Wiingy
- Guitar — Acoustic, electric, bass; beginner through advanced
- Piano — Classical, jazz, contemporary; all ages and levels
- Singing — Pop, classical, musical theatre
- Violin — Classical, fiddle, Suzuki method
- SAT and ACT Prep — Foundational to advanced test strategy
- Mathematics — All levels, middle school through university
4,500+ vetted tutors · 350+ subjects · Starting at $28/hr · Free first lesson
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